Our Approach
Alersal™ analysis creates a market timing model based on following three principles:
o There is a market-basis in effect for every instrument at all times. This basis evolves over time and can be determined using statistical regression methods.
o Market participants use Fibonacci constants to derive trading range for short-term and long-term needs. Thus, once the market-basis is known, these constants can be applied to generate trendline equations and trading ranges.
o ‘Reversion To Mean’ psychology combined with conflicting economic narratives creates continuous market movements that in turn create frequent opportunities to invest.